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Deep dives, analysis, and insights on AI, markets, and crypto.

Two of the Smartest Investors in AI Just Made the Same Call — Here's What They're Buying
Macro 19/05/2026

Two of the Smartest Investors in AI Just Made the Same Call — Here's What They're Buying

Leopold Aschenbrenner just filed an $8.5 billion short against the AI semiconductor stack. Jordi Visser exited all his semis the same week. Two different frameworks, the same conclusion — and the same rotation into power, miners, and crypto.

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Running Hot Into Scarcity: Why the AI Trade Is About to Hit a Wall
Macro 18/05/2026

Running Hot Into Scarcity: Why the AI Trade Is About to Hit a Wall

Jordi Visser has exited his entire semiconductor position after an 8x return. His exhaustion model is flashing red, DRAM momentum has rolled over, and Hormuz is breaking the supply chain nobody priced in.

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Jordi Visser & Pompliano: The Semiconductor Trade Is Done — Here's What's Next
Macro 17/05/2026

Jordi Visser & Pompliano: The Semiconductor Trade Is Done — Here's What's Next

Jordi Visser just exited his 8-bagger Micron position. Negative real yields are back. Iran is a structural energy floor. And Dogecoin is the retail sentiment canary. The regime is shifting — here's where capital rotates next.

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Mullarney & Biceel: The Convergence of Tesla and SpaceX Is the Biggest Trade of Your Life
Tesla 15/05/2026

Mullarney & Biceel: The Convergence of Tesla and SpaceX Is the Biggest Trade of Your Life

Silicon Valley engineer Phil Biceel and James Mullarney on Terrafab, orbital data centers, the 1 terawatt compute problem arriving in 4.4 years, and why Tesla and SpaceX are converging into a single compute empire.

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Visser: AI Is a Commodity Supercycle Disguised as a Tech Trade — and Bitcoin Is the Funding Rate for AI Agents
AI 14/05/2026

Visser: AI Is a Commodity Supercycle Disguised as a Tech Trade — and Bitcoin Is the Funding Rate for AI Agents

Jordi Visser reframes the entire AI trade: forget software stocks. This is a $90 trillion physical buildout with 3 foundries controlling global chip supply, AI agents consuming tokens like food, and Bitcoin emerging as the funding rate of the future.

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Jordi Visser: This Isn't a Bubble — It's a $90 Trillion Physical Buildout
AI 11/05/2026

Jordi Visser: This Isn't a Bubble — It's a $90 Trillion Physical Buildout

Visser reframes the AI trade entirely: forget bubble comparisons. Anthropic saw 80x token growth vs 10x planned. That demand is physical, structural, and requires decades of infrastructure to support.

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The All-In Podcast on AI: Elon's Infrastructure Empire, Anthropic's Monopoly Risk, and the ROI Question Nobody's Answering
AI 10/05/2026

The All-In Podcast on AI: Elon's Infrastructure Empire, Anthropic's Monopoly Risk, and the ROI Question Nobody's Answering

Chamath, Sacks, Gerstner, and Calacanis lay out the deep tension in AI markets: infrastructure is winning, Anthropic's growth is unprecedented, and nobody can prove enterprise AI has lifted margins.

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Jordi Visser on DRAM Bubble Peak: The Real Supply Shock, the Sector Rotation, and Why He's Selling Micron
AI 10/05/2026

Jordi Visser on DRAM Bubble Peak: The Real Supply Shock, the Sector Rotation, and Why He's Selling Micron

Visser is bullish on AI infrastructure long-term but just sold two-thirds of his Micron position. Here's what his trading behavior reveals about late-cycle sector rotation from semis to power — and why tokenization is his next frontier.

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James Mullarney on AI-Crypto Convergence: The Infrastructure Moment the Market Isn't Pricing In
AI 08/05/2026

James Mullarney on AI-Crypto Convergence: The Infrastructure Moment the Market Isn't Pricing In

AI agents need blockchain payment rails to transact at machine speed. James Mullarney makes the case for Solana as the credit card for AI, a 1000x compute demand surge, and why Google's 133x free cash flow multiple is a ticking clock.

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Jensen Huang at Milken: The Five-Layer Cake, the 1000x Compute Jump, and Why the Doomers Are Missing the Point
AI 07/05/2026

Jensen Huang at Milken: The Five-Layer Cake, the 1000x Compute Jump, and Why the Doomers Are Missing the Point

Jensen Huang got specific at Milken — where the bottlenecks are, why agentic AI demands 1000x more compute than generative AI, and why the real risk isn't AI itself but Americans getting too scared to use it.

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Tesla FSD 14.3: The Infrastructure Moment the Market Is Missing
Tech 05/05/2026

Tesla FSD 14.3: The Infrastructure Moment the Market Is Missing

Tesla didn't release an update — they rebuilt their entire AI foundation using MLIR. Herbert Ong, Cern Basher, and Phil Beisel break down why the runtime rewrite creates a 10x scaling moat, and why Austin robotaxi launches sooner than the market expects.

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XLK's Breakout Above $154 — What the Historical Pattern Really Tells Us
Tech 04/05/2026

XLK's Breakout Above $154 — What the Historical Pattern Really Tells Us

XLK cleared $154 and closed near $162 — a setup that's fired only 30 times in a century with an 80% success rate and 36% average gains. But 46% of those instances also marked bear market tops. Here's how to position for both outcomes.

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The $90 Trillion Physical Infrastructure Supercycle — And Why Hyperscalers Are the Wrong Bet
Macro 02/05/2026

The $90 Trillion Physical Infrastructure Supercycle — And Why Hyperscalers Are the Wrong Bet

Jordi Visser's institutional thesis: this isn't the cloud era anymore — it's the physical era. Long scarcity, short abundance. The hyperscalers are funding vehicles, not winners.

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What Jensen Huang Has Been Telling Us For Six Months
AI 01/05/2026

What Jensen Huang Has Been Telling Us For Six Months

The Token Factory thesis — across eight major appearances and twelve hours of recorded conversation, four ideas keep surfacing. Here's the framework that will shape the next decade.

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We're in the Singularity Now — Here's What That Actually Means
AI 01/05/2026

We're in the Singularity Now — Here's What That Actually Means

Peter Diamandis, Salim Ismail, Alex Wiesner-Gross, and Dave Blundin on Moonshots — 15 major AI releases in 8 weeks, the TSMC chokepoint, and why the singularity is an interval, not an event.

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The AI Disruption Trade: Why Jordi Visser Says Bitcoin Is the Only Scarcity Left
Bitcoin 30/04/2026

The AI Disruption Trade: Why Jordi Visser Says Bitcoin Is the Only Scarcity Left

Jordi Visser on Bankless: AI destroys the moats of every asset except Bitcoin. Software apocalypse meets commodity surge. Negative real rates approach.

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The Fork in Humanity: Institutional Collapse, Decentralization & the Mindset That Determines Your Future
AI 25/04/2026

The Fork in Humanity: Institutional Collapse, Decentralization & the Mindset That Determines Your Future

Raoul Pal, Peter Diamandis, and Salim Ismail on why our institutions are breaking, why decentralization is inevitable, and how mindset will determine which fork of humanity you're on.

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Bitcoin's Next Chapter: Why Scarcity Trumps Software in the Age of Abundance
Bitcoin 25/04/2026

Bitcoin's Next Chapter: Why Scarcity Trumps Software in the Age of Abundance

Jordi Visser on the regime change reshaping technology and inflation — why Bitcoin is transitioning from risk asset to premier scarcity play, and where the smart money is moving.

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The Exponential Future: Abundance vs. Politics — Friedberg & Williamson on Humanity's Next Chapter
AI 24/04/2026

The Exponential Future: Abundance vs. Politics — Friedberg & Williamson on Humanity's Next Chapter

David Friedberg argues exponential convergence of AI, robotics, fusion, and biotech is transforming humanity — but warns that fear-based politics and wealth redistribution could sabotage everything.

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AI Doesn't Take Your Job—It Makes You the CEO. But Only Within Trusted Tribes
AI 19/04/2026

AI Doesn't Take Your Job—It Makes You the CEO. But Only Within Trusted Tribes

Balaji Srinivasan on why the internet is becoming like the Chinese internet, and what that means for work, privacy, and the future of AI collaboration.

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The Compute Crisis: Why Structural Semiconductor Shortages Mean Bitcoin Becomes Infrastructure, Not Speculation
Macro 19/04/2026

The Compute Crisis: Why Structural Semiconductor Shortages Mean Bitcoin Becomes Infrastructure, Not Speculation

Jordi Visser and Anthony Pompliano on AI inflation, supply-driven economics, and why the software abundance cycle is over. A regime shift that rewrites the playbook.

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The Fiscal Trap: James Lavish on Why Bitcoin Is the Only Rational Exit From a Debasing Dollar
Bitcoin 18/04/2026

The Fiscal Trap: James Lavish on Why Bitcoin Is the Only Rational Exit From a Debasing Dollar

James Lavish — 25 years on Wall Street, COO of a $26 billion fund — argues the U.S. fiscal position is mathematically terminal. Here's why Bitcoin is the only rational exit.

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PTL Signal: Simon Dixon on Government Capture, Bitcoin, and Individual Sovereignty
Bitcoin 18/04/2026

PTL Signal: Simon Dixon on Government Capture, Bitcoin, and Individual Sovereignty

Simon Dixon argues governments are fully captured by the financial industrial complex — and that self-custodied Bitcoin is the only real exit. Here's what landed.

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Tesla's Distributed Brain: Why FSD 14.3 Is Just the Beginning of a Planetary-Scale AI Network
AI 13/04/2026

Tesla's Distributed Brain: Why FSD 14.3 Is Just the Beginning of a Planetary-Scale AI Network

FSD 14.3 isn't just another update. Tesla analyst Cern Basher explains why it marks the beginning of a planetary-scale distributed AI network spanning vehicles, robots, and space.

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The Dozen Doublings: Why Salim Ismail Says We're Choosing Between Star Trek and Mad Max
AI 10/04/2026

The Dozen Doublings: Why Salim Ismail Says We're Choosing Between Star Trek and Mad Max

A dozen technologies are simultaneously doubling in capability while costs collapse toward zero. Salim Ismail argues this forces a civilizational choice: Star Trek or Mad Max.

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The Unwind: Why Jordi Visser Says We're in a Stagflationary Bear Market
Macro 10/04/2026

The Unwind: Why Jordi Visser Says We're in a Stagflationary Bear Market

Jordi Visser isn't predicting a normal cyclical correction. He's arguing we've entered a stagflationary regime where Fed policy paralysis, AI disruption, and a 17-year credit unwind are converging — and traditional portfolios are failing.

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The Fed's Trap: Why Jordi Visser Says Bitcoin Wins When Policy Fails
Macro 05/04/2026

The Fed's Trap: Why Jordi Visser Says Bitcoin Wins When Policy Fails

Jordi Visser argues the Federal Reserve has lost the ability to fight inflation — trapped by debt levels that make the 1970s look like a golden age of fiscal discipline. Here's what that means for Bitcoin.

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The Regime Shift Nobody's Talking About: Why Jordi Visser Says We've Left the QE Era for Good
Macro 29/03/2026

The Regime Shift Nobody's Talking About: Why Jordi Visser Says We've Left the QE Era for Good

Jordi Visser isn't predicting a recession. He's arguing something far more consequential: we've permanently exited the QE era, and most investors haven't adjusted because they don't realise the game has changed.

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Physical AI Is Coming To Healthcare — And It's Closer Than You Think
AI 28/03/2026

Physical AI Is Coming To Healthcare — And It's Closer Than You Think

Humanoid robots are moving from factory floors into hospitals and aged care. The WHO projects a 10–15 million healthcare worker shortage by 2030. Here's why physical AI is the only answer that scales.

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The Terrafab Gambit: When 50x Compute Meets the End of Human Driving
AI 28/03/2026

The Terrafab Gambit: When 50x Compute Meets the End of Human Driving

Peter Diamandis, Dave Blundin, Alex Wiesner-Gross, and Salim Ismail unpack Elon's 1-terawatt compute play, the death of human driving, terminal value collapse, and machines that design machines.

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Why Oil Is Screaming 'Buy Bitcoin' — And the Smart Money Is Listening
Macro 27/03/2026

Why Oil Is Screaming 'Buy Bitcoin' — And the Smart Money Is Listening

Oil broke down when it shouldn't have. Stablecoins are flipping the payment infrastructure. AI agents are about to transact trillions on crypto rails. Here's what the panel sees that you don't.

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Why Wall Street's Frozen While the Market Burns
Macro 24/03/2026

Why Wall Street's Frozen While the Market Burns

The S&P broke below its 200-day moving average. Credit markets are deteriorating. And sell-side analysts are paralysed. Jordi Visser explains the setup — and what to do about it.

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Stagflation 2.0: Why Jordi Visser Thinks This Is the 1970s With an AI Twist
Macro 23/03/2026

Stagflation 2.0: Why Jordi Visser Thinks This Is the 1970s With an AI Twist

Jordi Visser believes we are walking into a 1970s-style stagflation environment — with one critical modern twist that makes this version stranger and harder for policymakers to navigate.

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Tech 20/03/2026

The Technology is Inevitable. Are We Ready?

AI, Bitcoin, and the refrigeration moment — why this disruption is different and what New Zealand should do about it.

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The Humanoid Robot Inflection Point: Why This Is Happening Faster Than Anyone Thinks
AI 20/03/2026

The Humanoid Robot Inflection Point: Why This Is Happening Faster Than Anyone Thinks

Humanoid robots are no longer a future concept. They are here — and the timeline is compressing fast.

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Macro 20/03/2026

Jordi Visser's Turbulence Model and Why the Next Rally Starts in Private Credit

Jordi Visser has identified the exact mechanism that could trigger Bitcoin's next major supercycle — and it's hiding in private credit.

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AI 20/03/2026

Why I Built the Earnings Call Analyzer (And Why You Need It)

I'm not a Wall Street analyst. I'm a former ultra-endurance athlete from New Zealand. So what the hell am I doing building financial intelligence tools?

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